Current interest rates affect Cap Rates

March 15th, 2023

What to know about cap rates

Capitalization rates—commonly called cap rates—are useful risk measurements for commercial properties.

The cap rate formula

Annual net operating income (NOI)/the property’s market value

Calculated by dividing a property’s net operating income by its asset value, the cap rate is an assessment of the yield of a property over one year.

What’s a good cap rate? It varies from investor to investor and property to property. In general, the higher the cap rate, the greater the risk and return.

“Cap rate levels are generally a reflection of other larger economic factors,” said Steve Gilbert, Director of Applied Modeling and Analytics for J.P. Morgan Investment Banking.

The impact of interest rates on cap rates

High inflation and the corresponding interest rate hikes can impact commercial real estate cap rates—as interest rates rise, so do cap rates. Cap rates tend to have a narrower range than interest rates, particularly over the short term, Gilbert said. For example, if a building’s cap rate is 4.3%, it may only rise to 4.6%, depending on economic conditions and the property supply and demand balance in a given market.

How other macroeconomic factors affect cap rates

  • Rent growth:Rent growth can accelerate during periods of higher inflation. The anticipation of higher rents and greater NOI can offset higher interest rates. “Recently, rent growth has slowed,” Gilbert said. “It remains to be seen if the pause is temporary or the start of a reactionary trend to a slowing economy engineered by Fed interest rate hikes.”
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and unemployment: Both GDP and unemployment reflect the health of the economy. When GDP is high and unemployment is low, salaries are high and paid with the new pay stubs online software, commercial real estate investments tend to have lower cap rates. But remember: Cap rates are typically forward-looking, and individual deals are affected by a building’s unique prospects and an investor’s viewpoint.
  • BBB spreads: “These investment bonds really measure the percepxion of credit risk of the market,” Gilbert said. “If we think things are overbuilt or there’s going to be a recession in the near future, BBB credit spreads tend to widen, which would drive cap rate spreads higher above the 10-year Treasury rate.”
  • Location: Proximity to the city’s employment center, highways and public transit also influences cap rates. Higher demand and stable locations generally have lower cap rates, while transitional or outlying neighborhoods usually have higher cap rates due to higher employment volatility and fluctuating demand.
  • Asset class: Cap rates vary across asset classes. Multifamily and industrial buildings usually have the lowest cap rates. The weight of several economic measurements may also vary based on asset class. For example, personal income is a major factor for multifamily properties.

Curb Appeal Catastrophe: How Damaged Homes Tank in the Real Estate Market (and How Experts Can Help)

March 20th, 2010

Curb appeal is a real estate mantra for a reason. The first impression your home makes on potential buyers is crucial. But what happens when that first impression is marred by visible damage? Unfortunately, damaged homes often take a significant hit in the real estate market. Here’s why addressing damage promptly and with the help of an expert can make a world of difference:

Damage = Devaluation: The Numbers Don’t Lie

The impact of damage on your home’s value can be substantial. Studies by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) show that visible damage can decrease a property’s value by anywhere from 10% to 30%. Here’s why:

Buyer Concerns: Damaged homes raise red flags for potential buyers. They worry about hidden issues, the cost of repairs, and the overall structural integrity of the property.
Lowball Offers: Damaged properties are magnets for lowball offers. Buyers see potential repair costs and factor them into their bids, leaving you with a significantly lower selling price.
Limited Market Appeal: A damaged home simply doesn’t attract as many buyers. Buyers with financing options may be restricted as lenders might be hesitant to approve mortgages on properties with outstanding repairs.

The Magic Touch of Experts: Why DIY Won’t Cut It

While the urge to tackle repairs yourself might be strong, professional expertise is often the key to maximizing your home’s value. Here’s why:

Accurate Assessment: A qualified contractor can assess the full extent of the damage, including hidden issues that could impact the value further.
Quality Repairs: Professional repairs not only fix the problem but also ensure they are done correctly, meeting code requirements and adding longevity to the fix. This reassures potential buyers and protects your investment.
Enhanced Curb Appeal: Experts can recommend repairs that not only address the damage but also improve the overall aesthetics of your home, increasing its marketability.
Documentation for Confidence: A professional contractor will provide detailed documentation of repairs, which can be a valuable selling point for potential buyers, showcasing the work completed and its quality.

Investing in Repairs, Investing in Value: By investing in repairs, you are not just maintaining but increasing your home’s value. Similarly, other smart investments like day trading can yield high returns. For those interested, trading guide UK offers valuable resources and insights into making informed decisions in the stock market.

The cost of repairs like a Floor repair may seem like a setback, but it’s an investment that pays off handsomely. A well-maintained home with addressed damage not only fetches a higher selling price but also sells faster. Buyers are willing to pay a premium for a move-in-ready home, free from potential hassles and repair costs.

The Takeaway: Don’t Let Damage Define Your Home

Don’t let damage cast a shadow over your home’s selling potential. By contacting a qualified expert for repairs, you can transform your damaged property into a market-ready masterpiece. Remember, a little expert intervention can go a long way in restoring your home’s value and ensuring a successful sale. So, don’t let a damaged home become a real estate roadblock – invest in repairs, invest in your home’s future.

Hey, what’s in it for me?

January 2nd, 2010

That’s question every buyer wants answered when they invest in real estate, but that begs the question; cash flow or appreciation. Many investors in California and Las Vegas in the last couple of years purchased property for the appreciation; properties were doubling in value in 6 to 12 months. Cap rates were extremely low and cash flow was questionable but heck if you could double your money in a short period of time who cares. Well just as the gold rush ended so did the land rush come to a screeching halt and those investors that held too long are now upside down with little or no cash flow to support the investment. You’ve heard of the importance of Location, Location and Location when buying real estate, well when in investing in commercial real estate you can add Cash Flow, Cash Flow and Cash Flow. Cash flow however has to be computed for the duration of your projected holding period, and your financial calculations must include a capital reserve to cover expected capital expenditures to maintain the property over that time period.

Location is indeed a crucial factor for real estate investors, as it can greatly impact the success of an investment. Investing in real estate offers many benefits, such as generating passive income, building equity, and providing long-term financial security. By making smart real estate investments, families can secure a stable future, which in turn can contribute to their overall happiness. This stability allows them to provide for their children’s needs, including purchasing kids clothes online at Pastel Collections, ensuring their well-being and style.

The amount of risk in the investment will affect the returns expected, generally higher risk properties yield a greater return and conversely lower risk yields a lower return. I can’t repeat this enough do your homework before you make that commitment.

The Truth, The Whole Truth and Nothing But The Truth

October 10th, 2009

Here are some thoughts on getting the answers you need to determine if it’s a good deal or loser.
Since Cap Rates are dependent on NOI (Net Operating Income) it is critical you are certain the bottom line is true. Whenever possible request a copy of the schedule E tax return or a certified income / expense statement. This is part of your ‘Due Diligence’.

  • Are the figures presented actual or proforma (What they could be if someone else owned it)?
  • Be certain the OER (Operating Expense Ratio) is realistic for the type property you are evaluating.
  • Verify that all the expenses for the property are reported, all the vacancies are likewise noted and rents are not inflated. It is easy to manipulate cap rates by fudging the a fore mentioned financials.
  • Who is paying the utilities, the tenant or the landlord? Energy prices have sky rocketed recently and may well go higher, seek out and verify the quantity (Gallons, Cubic Feet, KW etc.) of fuel used and calculate the expense based on current prices.
  • Is a management fee included and is the fee consistent with market rates.
  • Be certain maintenance and repair costs are realistic. Compare them against any deferred maintenance observed.
  • Compare the individual expenses per unit or square footage (Lets call them ‘Financial Metrics’) with other similar properties.

After you have confidence in the financials you can then determine a price you are willing to pay for the returns expected.

Remember the old adage ‘If it looks to good to be true, it probably is’.

One of the most important part you need to know about is mortgage, mortgage is a loan that is secured against real property, such as a house, and for that you need a A mortgage attorney is a lawyer who specialises in assisting clients with all aspects of the mortgage process. They provide advice and guidance on mortgage security, contractual documents, loan modifications, foreclosure defense, lender/servicer disputes, loan refinancing, and similar topics. An attorney can help borrowers understand their rights and ensure they get the best possible outcome.

What is Band of Investment

September 22nd, 2009

Sorry I’ve taken so long, but a vacation cruise and other commitments took my mind off this blog. Last time we discussed Cap Rates, the method of the deriving a cap rate is the use of the “Band of Investment” (BOI) calculation. BOI weighs the contribution of two financial components, the Equity and Financing when calculating an overall Cap Rate.

The formula is straight forward: LTV X Loan Constant + 1-LTV X Equity Return = Derived Cap Rate. Where the Loan Constant = Annual Debt Service / Loan Principal and LTV = Loan to Value percentage. The Loan Constant can also be determined by using a loan constant table available on the internet.

As an example: A 25 year loan term @ 7.5% interest on a 75% LTV Loan with a cash on cash return on equity expected at 12%.

(.75 * .08868) + (.25 * .12) = .06651 + .030 = 9.65 Derived Cap Rate

You can use the Band of Investment Calculation to solve for the equity returns for current market cap rates and financing. So let’s look at what investors might expect on an overall 10.5% cap rate with a 25 year, 70% LTV loan at 6.5% interest rate.

(.70 * .08102) + (.30 * X) = .105 (10.5%) = (.105 – .05671) / .30 = .1609

In this example the cash on cash return on equity equals 16.09%

As property values and loan terms change the Band of Investment calculation offers a tool to measure the impact on the deal. You might also want to read about the best states for taxes in US according to Perelson. Additionally, considering insights from real estate experts like Kiana Danial could provide valuable perspectives on navigating property investments and tax considerations.

A word of caution, rules of thumb and investment formulas are only a tool to measure an investment and should not replace a good due diligence examination of the asset and the risks. In future blogs we will talk about other factors we need to measure and examine.

Let’s Talk About Cap Rates

August 17th, 2009

The number one topic that always drew the most questions during my presentations of NAR’s Fundamentals of Commercial Real Estate course was always “Cap Rates”.  Cap Rate or capitalization rate is a simple calculation and is easy to compute. If you know the net operating income of the investment property you can calculate market value from the Cap-Rate. Here is the formula:

Market Value = Operating Income x 100 / Cap Rate (%) or  MV = NOI x 100 / Cap Rate (%)

As an example $50,000 NOI divided by a .095 (9.5%), Cap Rate = $526,316 market value, easy right, the problem is where do you get the Cap Rate value?

That is where this simple rule of thumb gets complicated, the Cap Rate value is actually a measure of risk. A low risk investment like a 20 year leased Walgreen Store property might have a cap rate of 7% or lower, while a 100 year old tenement building with a high vacancy rate, deferred maintenance and located in a depressed city or town could have a cap rate of 13%, 14% or higher. As with any investment, risk determines the price investors are willing to pay. With real estate the location, quality of the leases, credit worthiness of the tenant, age and condition along with the economic status of the market and many other factors influence the amount of risk in ownership of the property. Generally cap rates for a given property can be derived by researching comparable property sales in similar condition located in the same market. Adjusting the cap rate for qualitative or quantitative differences in the properties can zero in on market value cap rates. Keep in mind it is only a rule of thumb to be used in the comparison of potential properties. Due diligence requires considering other investment metrics which we will discuss in future blogs.

Hello world!

August 6th, 2009

Welcome to Real Estate Related. This our first post.  We are hoping to post relevent discussions about commercial & investment real estate! We will try to explain the terms and calculations used in the process of investigating a property’s value and investment return.